Population Characteristics for All Projections

Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2022
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 30,484 60,230 100%
Sex
Female 17,217 32,673 54%
Male 13,267 27,557 46%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 1,739 5,071 8%
White, non-Hispanic 24,251 46,228 77%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,911 5,861 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,583 3,070 5%
Country of birth
United States 27,287 52,755 88%
Other countries 3,197 7,475 12%
Age
60–69 11,401 24,029 40%
70–79 12,655 24,687 41%
80–89 5,403 9,746 16%
90 or older 1,025 1,767 3%
Marital status
Married 17,451 34,693 58%
Divorced 5,109 10,321 17%
Widowed 6,120 11,386 19%
Never married 1,804 3,830 6%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,724 7,257 12%
Bachelor 5,214 10,299 17%
Associate 6,566 13,259 22%
High school 12,183 23,784 39%
Less than high school 2,797 5,630 9%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 29,103 57,427 95%
In poverty 1,381 2,803 5%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 6,036 12,046 20%
Second highest 6,100 12,050 20%
Middle 6,128 12,043 20%
Second lowest 6,123 12,044 20%
Lowest 6,097 12,046 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 20,460 41,114 68%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 5,692 10,566 18%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,090 5,902 10%
Disabled worker only 1,242 2,647 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 1,739 5,071 100%
Sex
Female 977 2,674 53%
Male 762 2,397 47%
Country of birth
United States 794 2,405 47%
Other countries 945 2,666 53%
Marital status
Married 1,017 3,022 60%
Divorced 244 741 15%
Widowed 371 983 19%
Never married 107 325 6%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 1,578 4,619 91%
In poverty 161 452 9%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 191 636 13%
Second highest 232 707 14%
Middle 296 849 17%
Second lowest 392 1,124 22%
Lowest 628 1,755 35%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 24,251 46,228 100%
Sex
Female 13,572 25,013 54%
Male 10,679 21,215 46%
Country of birth
United States 23,051 43,741 95%
Other countries 1,200 2,487 5%
Age
60–69 8,571 17,333 37%
70–79 10,179 19,231 42%
80–89 4,593 8,129 18%
90 or older 908 1,535 3%
Marital status
Married 14,249 27,175 59%
Divorced 3,987 7,852 17%
Widowed 4,818 8,719 19%
Never married 1,197 2,483 5%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,267 6,216 13%
Bachelor 4,457 8,500 18%
Associate 5,419 10,598 23%
High school 9,596 18,164 39%
Less than high school 1,512 2,750 6%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 23,432 44,651 97%
In poverty 819 1,577 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 5,300 10,250 22%
Second highest 5,161 9,878 21%
Middle 5,040 9,569 21%
Second lowest 4,717 8,907 19%
Lowest 4,033 7,625 16%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 16,365 31,679 69%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 4,511 8,194 18%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 2,556 4,700 10%
Disabled worker only 819 1,655 4%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 2,911 5,861 100%
Sex
Female 1,777 3,291 56%
Male 1,134 2,570 44%
Country of birth
United States 2,617 5,143 88%
Other countries 294 718 12%
Marital status
Married 1,243 2,605 44%
Divorced 612 1,252 21%
Widowed 639 1,149 20%
Never married 417 856 15%
Highest education level
Graduate 214 483 8%
Bachelor 292 666 11%
Associate 585 1,265 22%
High school 1,395 2,714 46%
Less than high school 425 734 13%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,627 5,303 90%
In poverty 284 558 10%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 268 589 10%
Second highest 423 917 16%
Middle 535 1,114 19%
Second lowest 654 1,315 22%
Lowest 1,031 1,927 33%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 1,889 3,880 66%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 605 1,077 18%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 162 322 5%
Disabled worker only 255 582 10%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 1,583 3,070 100%
Sex
Female 891 1,695 55%
Male 692 1,375 45%
Country of birth
United States 825 1,466 48%
Other countries 758 1,604 52%
Highest education level
Graduate 178 364 12%
Bachelor 344 750 24%
Associate 294 554 18%
High school 596 1,103 36%
Less than high school 171 298 10%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 1,466 2,855 93%
In poverty 117 215 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 277 572 19%
Second highest 284 548 18%
Middle 257 512 17%
Second lowest 360 698 23%
Lowest 405 739 24%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2030
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 33,857 71,243 100%
Sex
Female 19,028 38,312 54%
Male 14,829 32,931 46%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 2,655 7,908 11%
White, non-Hispanic 25,997 51,992 73%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 3,172 7,252 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,033 4,091 6%
Country of birth
United States 29,227 60,090 84%
Other countries 4,630 11,154 16%
Age
60–69 10,073 23,152 32%
70–79 14,554 30,511 43%
80–89 7,797 14,980 21%
90 or older 1,433 2,601 4%
Marital status
Married 19,046 40,338 57%
Divorced 6,128 13,106 18%
Widowed 6,450 12,721 18%
Never married 2,233 5,079 7%
Highest education level
Graduate 4,227 8,574 12%
Bachelor 6,607 13,648 19%
Associate 7,458 16,119 23%
High school 12,885 27,014 38%
Less than high school 2,680 5,887 8%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 32,365 68,006 95%
In poverty 1,492 3,237 5%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 6,784 14,248 20%
Second highest 6,839 14,248 20%
Middle 6,759 14,250 20%
Second lowest 6,800 14,248 20%
Lowest 6,675 14,248 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 23,559 50,396 71%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 5,973 11,633 16%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,164 6,473 9%
Disabled worker only 1,161 2,741 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 2,655 7,908 100%
Sex
Female 1,461 4,035 51%
Male 1,194 3,873 49%
Country of birth
United States 1,092 3,379 43%
Other countries 1,563 4,530 57%
Marital status
Married 1,663 4,970 63%
Divorced 338 1,062 13%
Widowed 491 1,372 17%
Never married 163 505 6%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,449 7,339 93%
In poverty 206 570 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 268 872 11%
Second highest 430 1,337 17%
Middle 464 1,394 18%
Second lowest 628 1,873 24%
Lowest 865 2,433 31%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 1,783 5,486 69%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 403 1,056 13%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 289 835 11%
Disabled worker only 180 531 7%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 25,997 51,992 100%
Sex
Female 14,489 28,068 54%
Male 11,508 23,924 46%
Country of birth
United States 24,410 48,680 94%
Other countries 1,587 3,312 6%
Age
60–69 7,108 15,255 29%
70–79 11,196 22,491 43%
80–89 6,433 11,997 23%
90 or older 1,260 2,248 4%
Marital status
Married 14,862 29,774 57%
Divorced 4,754 9,740 19%
Widowed 4,947 9,324 18%
Never married 1,434 3,154 6%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,606 7,066 14%
Bachelor 5,498 10,867 21%
Associate 6,007 12,423 24%
High school 9,648 19,237 37%
Less than high school 1,238 2,399 5%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 25,106 50,188 97%
In poverty 891 1,804 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 5,799 11,694 22%
Second highest 5,607 11,131 21%
Middle 5,298 10,599 20%
Second lowest 5,036 9,977 19%
Lowest 4,257 8,591 17%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 18,138 36,906 71%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 4,663 8,730 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 2,488 4,836 9%
Disabled worker only 708 1,519 3%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,172 7,252 100%
Sex
Female 1,922 3,950 54%
Male 1,250 3,301 46%
Country of birth
United States 2,778 6,263 86%
Other countries 394 988 14%
Marital status
Married 1,312 3,098 43%
Divorced 714 1,697 23%
Widowed 629 1,284 18%
Never married 517 1,172 16%
Highest education level
Graduate 251 632 9%
Bachelor 403 1,004 14%
Associate 683 1,693 23%
High school 1,526 3,313 46%
Less than high school 309 610 8%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,896 6,616 91%
In poverty 276 636 9%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 315 812 11%
Second highest 461 1,075 15%
Middle 621 1,511 21%
Second lowest 716 1,583 22%
Lowest 1,059 2,270 31%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 2,216 5,099 70%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 592 1,245 17%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 155 358 5%
Disabled worker only 209 549 8%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 2,033 4,091 100%
Sex
Female 1,156 2,258 55%
Male 877 1,833 45%
Country of birth
United States 947 1,768 43%
Other countries 1,086 2,324 57%
Marital status
Married 1,209 2,495 61%
Divorced 322 608 15%
Widowed 383 741 18%
Never married 119 247 6%
Highest education level
Graduate 272 571 14%
Bachelor 492 1,083 26%
Associate 366 718 18%
High school 723 1,402 34%
Less than high school 180 317 8%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 1,914 3,864 94%
In poverty 119 228 6%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 402 870 21%
Second highest 341 705 17%
Middle 376 747 18%
Second lowest 420 815 20%
Lowest 494 954 23%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2050
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 36,509 83,598 100%
Sex
Female 20,264 44,392 53%
Male 16,245 39,206 47%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 6,234 15,706 19%
White, non-Hispanic 23,989 52,640 63%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 3,352 8,734 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,934 6,519 8%
Country of birth
United States 27,914 64,548 77%
Other countries 8,595 19,051 23%
Age
60–69 10,869 23,870 29%
70–79 12,662 30,701 37%
80–89 9,296 21,336 26%
90 or older 3,682 7,691 9%
Marital status
Married 18,636 43,095 52%
Divorced 6,655 15,104 18%
Widowed 7,066 15,476 19%
Never married 4,152 9,924 12%
Highest education level
Graduate 4,959 11,858 14%
Bachelor 7,876 18,487 22%
Associate 7,575 18,929 23%
High school 12,128 26,518 32%
Less than high school 3,971 7,806 9%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 34,961 80,289 96%
In poverty 1,548 3,309 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,088 16,726 20%
Second highest 7,159 16,712 20%
Middle 7,253 16,718 20%
Second lowest 7,447 16,726 20%
Lowest 7,562 16,716 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 25,789 60,931 73%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 5,808 12,444 15%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,340 6,848 8%
Disabled worker only 1,572 3,375 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 6,234 15,706 100%
Sex
Female 3,356 7,926 50%
Male 2,878 7,780 50%
Country of birth
United States 2,604 6,789 43%
Other countries 3,630 8,916 57%
Age
60–69 2,749 5,480 35%
70–79 2,272 6,523 42%
80–89 1,014 3,075 20%
90 or older 199 628 4%
Marital status
Married 3,466 8,777 56%
Divorced 789 2,051 13%
Widowed 1,152 3,004 19%
Never married 827 1,874 12%
Highest education level
Graduate 268 820 5%
Bachelor 483 1,459 9%
Associate 846 2,573 16%
High school 2,433 6,172 39%
Less than high school 2,204 4,682 30%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 5,847 14,809 94%
In poverty 387 897 6%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 725 1,890 12%
Second highest 958 2,453 16%
Middle 1,187 3,077 20%
Second lowest 1,507 3,748 24%
Lowest 1,857 4,537 29%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 4,257 11,090 71%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 883 2,197 14%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 691 1,604 10%
Disabled worker only 403 814 5%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 23,989 52,640 100%
Sex
Female 13,246 28,211 54%
Male 10,743 24,429 46%
Country of birth
United States 21,661 48,374 92%
Other countries 2,328 4,266 8%
Age
60–69 6,171 14,117 27%
70–79 8,009 17,996 34%
80–89 6,813 14,540 28%
90 or older 2,996 5,986 11%
Marital status
Married 12,511 27,805 53%
Divorced 4,673 10,117 19%
Widowed 4,789 9,918 19%
Never married 2,016 4,799 9%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,715 8,464 16%
Bachelor 6,026 13,483 26%
Associate 5,487 13,044 25%
High school 7,492 15,417 29%
Less than high school 1,269 2,232 4%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 23,266 51,168 97%
In poverty 723 1,472 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 5,206 11,860 23%
Second highest 5,227 11,734 22%
Middle 5,007 10,970 21%
Second lowest 4,650 9,933 19%
Lowest 3,899 8,143 15%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 17,028 38,344 73%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 4,051 8,340 16%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 2,056 4,082 8%
Disabled worker only 854 1,874 4%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,352 8,734 100%
Sex
Female 1,924 4,556 52%
Male 1,428 4,178 48%
Country of birth
United States 2,765 7,333 84%
Other countries 587 1,400 16%
Age
60–69 1,265 2,747 31%
70–79 1,111 3,385 39%
80–89 723 2,012 23%
90 or older 253 590 7%
Marital status
Married 1,035 2,822 32%
Divorced 781 2,045 23%
Widowed 534 1,317 15%
Never married 1,002 2,550 29%
Highest education level
Graduate 304 916 10%
Bachelor 491 1,496 17%
Associate 760 2,188 25%
High school 1,480 3,534 40%
Less than high school 317 600 7%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 3,057 8,055 92%
In poverty 295 679 8%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 345 991 11%
Second highest 484 1,379 16%
Middle 614 1,659 19%
Second lowest 738 1,902 22%
Lowest 1,171 2,802 32%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 2,509 6,821 78%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 425 1,009 12%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 149 326 4%
Disabled worker only 269 578 7%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 2,934 6,519 100%
Sex
Female 1,738 3,700 57%
Male 1,196 2,819 43%
Country of birth
United States 884 2,051 31%
Other countries 2,050 4,468 69%
Age
60–69 684 1,525 23%
70–79 1,270 2,798 43%
80–89 746 1,709 26%
90 or older 234 487 7%
Marital status
Married 1,624 3,691 57%
Divorced 412 890 14%
Widowed 591 1,237 19%
Never married 307 701 11%
Highest education level
Graduate 672 1,659 25%
Bachelor 876 2,048 31%
Associate 482 1,125 17%
High school 723 1,395 21%
Less than high school 181 292 4%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 2,791 6,258 96%
In poverty 143 261 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 812 1,985 30%
Second highest 490 1,145 18%
Middle 445 1,012 16%
Second lowest 552 1,143 18%
Lowest 635 1,234 19%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Aged 60 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2070
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All beneficiaries
Total 41,529 94,048 100%
Sex
Female 21,694 48,976 52%
Male 19,835 45,072 48%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 10,913 22,851 24%
White, non-Hispanic 22,558 52,660 56%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 4,065 9,369 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 3,993 9,167 10%
Country of birth
United States 30,858 72,920 78%
Other countries 10,671 21,127 22%
Age
60–69 12,069 26,598 28%
70–79 15,856 35,830 38%
80–89 10,095 23,043 25%
90 or older 3,509 8,576 9%
Marital status
Married 19,301 43,771 47%
Divorced 8,189 18,829 20%
Widowed 6,670 14,548 15%
Never married 7,369 16,900 18%
Highest education level
Graduate 6,688 17,913 19%
Bachelor 6,833 17,728 19%
Associate 7,322 19,996 21%
High school 14,530 28,541 30%
Less than high school 6,156 9,869 10%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 40,244 91,623 97%
In poverty 1,285 2,425 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,582 18,809 20%
Second highest 7,836 18,808 20%
Middle 8,175 18,810 20%
Second lowest 8,654 18,814 20%
Lowest 9,282 18,807 20%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 30,225 70,602 75%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 6,051 12,860 14%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 3,428 6,661 7%
Disabled worker only 1,825 3,924 4%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 10,913 22,851 100%
Sex
Female 5,647 11,823 52%
Male 5,266 11,028 48%
Country of birth
United States 6,307 13,496 59%
Other countries 4,606 9,355 41%
Age
60–69 4,037 8,189 36%
70–79 4,229 8,745 38%
80–89 2,144 4,514 20%
90 or older 503 1,402 6%
Marital status
Married 5,388 11,208 49%
Divorced 1,702 3,750 16%
Widowed 1,702 3,569 16%
Never married 2,121 4,324 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 784 2,228 10%
Bachelor 604 1,671 7%
Associate 1,332 3,755 16%
High school 4,334 8,764 38%
Less than high school 3,859 6,433 28%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 10,515 22,081 97%
In poverty 398 769 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,297 2,812 12%
Second highest 1,705 3,702 16%
Middle 2,092 4,470 20%
Second lowest 2,704 5,552 24%
Lowest 3,115 6,314 28%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 7,694 16,197 71%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 1,511 3,170 14%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 1,052 2,160 9%
Disabled worker only 656 1,325 6%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 22,558 52,660 100%
Sex
Female 11,634 27,101 51%
Male 10,924 25,560 49%
Country of birth
United States 19,952 48,265 92%
Other countries 2,606 4,395 8%
Age
60–69 5,693 13,134 25%
70–79 8,364 19,642 37%
80–89 6,051 14,228 27%
90 or older 2,450 5,657 11%
Marital status
Married 10,795 25,360 48%
Divorced 5,021 11,765 22%
Widowed 3,892 8,664 16%
Never married 2,850 6,871 13%
Highest education level
Graduate 4,315 11,503 22%
Bachelor 4,517 11,690 22%
Associate 4,545 12,372 23%
High school 7,566 14,665 28%
Less than high school 1,615 2,430 5%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 22,015 51,651 98%
In poverty 543 1,009 2%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 4,618 11,825 22%
Second highest 4,760 11,733 22%
Middle 4,738 11,146 21%
Second lowest 4,474 9,944 19%
Lowest 3,968 8,013 15%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 16,432 39,761 76%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 3,642 7,852 15%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 1,706 3,299 6%
Disabled worker only 778 1,748 3%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 4,065 9,369 100%
Sex
Female 2,113 4,889 52%
Male 1,952 4,480 48%
Country of birth
United States 3,444 8,142 87%
Other countries 621 1,227 13%
Age
60–69 1,320 2,915 31%
70–79 1,635 3,676 39%
80–89 911 2,093 22%
90 or older 199 685 7%
Marital status
Married 1,061 2,455 26%
Divorced 1,052 2,387 25%
Widowed 404 966 10%
Never married 1,548 3,561 38%
Highest education level
Graduate 483 1,364 15%
Bachelor 572 1,606 17%
Associate 763 2,103 22%
High school 1,836 3,676 39%
Less than high school 411 620 7%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 3,862 8,977 96%
In poverty 203 392 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 473 1,163 12%
Second highest 682 1,701 18%
Middle 725 1,717 18%
Second lowest 854 1,979 21%
Lowest 1,331 2,810 30%
Current-law benefit type
Retired worker only 3,173 7,475 80%
Widow(er) (includes dually entitled) 421 933 10%
Spousal (includes dually entitled) 163 302 3%
Disabled worker only 308 659 7%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,993 9,167 100%
Sex
Female 2,300 5,164 56%
Male 1,693 4,004 44%
Country of birth
United States 1,155 3,017 33%
Other countries 2,838 6,150 67%
Age
60–69 1,019 2,361 26%
70–79 1,628 3,767 41%
80–89 989 2,208 24%
90 or older 357 832 9%
Marital status
Married 2,057 4,748 52%
Divorced 414 928 10%
Widowed 672 1,349 15%
Never married 850 2,143 23%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,106 2,818 31%
Bachelor 1,140 2,761 30%
Associate 682 1,766 19%
High school 794 1,437 16%
Less than high school 271 386 4%
Current-law poverty status
Above poverty 3,852 8,913 97%
In poverty 141 254 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,194 3,008 33%
Second highest 689 1,672 18%
Middle 620 1,477 16%
Second lowest 622 1,339 15%
Lowest 868 1,670 18%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2022
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 51,838 118,911 100%
Sex
Female 25,056 55,585 47%
Male 26,782 63,326 53%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 8,094 20,390 17%
White, non-Hispanic 34,540 76,176 64%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 5,401 13,652 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 3,803 8,693 7%
Country of birth
United States 41,604 95,222 80%
Other countries 10,234 23,689 20%
Age
31–39 14,049 32,273 27%
40–49 13,040 31,539 27%
50–59 13,148 30,719 26%
60–69 8,271 17,793 15%
70 or older 3,330 6,588 6%
Marital status
Married 32,391 74,199 62%
Divorced 7,535 17,021 14%
Widowed 1,930 3,997 3%
Never married 9,982 23,694 20%
Highest education level
Graduate 7,378 17,888 15%
Bachelor 10,452 24,694 21%
Associate 11,259 28,034 24%
High school 17,534 38,091 32%
Less than high school 5,215 10,204 9%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 10,195 23,780 20%
Second highest 10,271 23,787 20%
Middle 10,272 23,779 20%
Second lowest 10,473 23,785 20%
Lowest 10,627 23,781 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 9,783 23,782 20%
Second highest 10,158 23,786 20%
Middle 10,371 23,775 20%
Second lowest 10,707 23,798 20%
Lowest 10,819 23,770 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 8,094 20,390 100%
Sex
Female 3,739 8,917 44%
Male 4,355 11,473 56%
Country of birth
United States 3,773 9,682 47%
Other countries 4,321 10,708 53%
Age
31–39 3,138 6,330 31%
40–49 2,548 6,703 33%
50–59 1,683 5,142 25%
60–69 597 1,835 9%
70 or older 128 379 2%
Marital status
Married 5,077 13,284 65%
Divorced 776 2,105 10%
Widowed 183 505 2%
Never married 2,058 4,497 22%
Highest education level
Graduate 436 1,307 6%
Bachelor 542 1,671 8%
Associate 1,179 3,578 18%
High school 3,092 7,850 38%
Less than high school 2,845 5,984 29%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 909 2,584 13%
Second highest 1,187 3,127 15%
Middle 1,604 4,107 20%
Second lowest 2,086 5,150 25%
Lowest 2,308 5,423 27%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 788 2,195 11%
Second highest 1,330 3,529 17%
Middle 1,856 4,677 23%
Second lowest 2,169 5,277 26%
Lowest 1,951 4,712 23%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 34,540 76,176 100%
Sex
Female 16,422 35,467 47%
Male 18,118 40,709 53%
Country of birth
United States 31,818 70,694 93%
Other countries 2,722 5,482 7%
Age
31–39 8,198 19,582 26%
40–49 8,023 18,436 24%
50–59 9,142 19,721 26%
60–69 6,402 13,103 17%
70 or older 2,775 5,334 7%
Marital status
Married 22,691 49,769 65%
Divorced 5,480 11,767 15%
Widowed 1,448 2,836 4%
Never married 4,921 11,804 15%
Highest education level
Graduate 5,546 12,865 17%
Bachelor 8,099 18,265 24%
Associate 8,154 19,341 25%
High school 11,100 22,783 30%
Less than high school 1,641 2,921 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,737 17,139 22%
Second highest 7,556 16,858 22%
Middle 7,103 15,798 21%
Second lowest 6,476 14,106 19%
Lowest 5,668 12,274 16%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 7,353 17,087 22%
Second highest 7,365 16,579 22%
Middle 6,752 14,781 19%
Second lowest 6,467 13,806 18%
Lowest 6,603 13,923 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 5,401 13,652 100%
Sex
Female 2,997 6,971 51%
Male 2,404 6,681 49%
Country of birth
United States 4,599 11,643 85%
Other countries 802 2,009 15%
Age
31–39 1,814 4,071 30%
40–49 1,394 3,884 28%
50–59 1,231 3,426 25%
60–69 717 1,755 13%
70 or older 245 517 4%
Marital status
Married 2,221 5,703 42%
Divorced 866 2,258 17%
Widowed 165 389 3%
Never married 2,149 5,302 39%
Highest education level
Graduate 503 1,460 11%
Bachelor 764 2,236 16%
Associate 1,219 3,438 25%
High school 2,404 5,577 41%
Less than high school 511 941 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 558 1,611 12%
Second highest 799 2,121 16%
Middle 991 2,557 19%
Second lowest 1,252 3,074 23%
Lowest 1,801 4,290 31%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 628 1,909 14%
Second highest 827 2,190 16%
Middle 1,116 2,858 21%
Second lowest 1,363 3,218 24%
Lowest 1,467 3,478 25%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 3,803 8,693 100%
Sex
Female 1,898 4,230 49%
Male 1,905 4,463 51%
Country of birth
United States 1,414 3,203 37%
Other countries 2,389 5,490 63%
Age
31–39 899 2,289 26%
40–49 1,075 2,516 29%
50–59 1,092 2,431 28%
60–69 555 1,101 13%
70 or older 182 357 4%
Marital status
Married 2,402 5,443 63%
Divorced 413 891 10%
Widowed 134 268 3%
Never married 854 2,091 24%
Highest education level
Graduate 893 2,256 26%
Bachelor 1,047 2,522 29%
Associate 707 1,676 19%
High school 938 1,881 22%
Less than high school 218 358 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 991 2,446 28%
Second highest 729 1,680 19%
Middle 574 1,317 15%
Second lowest 659 1,455 17%
Lowest 850 1,795 21%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,014 2,590 30%
Second highest 636 1,488 17%
Middle 647 1,460 17%
Second lowest 708 1,497 17%
Lowest 798 1,658 19%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2030
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 54,152 125,217 100%
Sex
Female 26,009 59,008 47%
Male 28,143 66,208 53%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 10,465 24,404 19%
White, non-Hispanic 33,707 76,595 61%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 5,749 14,202 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 4,231 10,015 8%
Country of birth
United States 42,660 99,589 80%
Other countries 11,492 25,628 20%
Age
31–39 14,431 33,289 27%
40–49 14,848 33,838 27%
50–59 11,863 29,080 23%
60–69 8,694 20,048 16%
70 or older 4,316 8,962 7%
Marital status
Married 32,119 74,379 59%
Divorced 8,136 18,628 15%
Widowed 1,950 4,215 3%
Never married 11,947 27,995 22%
Highest education level
Graduate 8,152 20,747 17%
Bachelor 10,430 25,710 21%
Associate 11,149 28,969 23%
High school 18,165 38,397 31%
Less than high school 6,256 11,393 9%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 10,393 25,042 20%
Second highest 10,600 25,046 20%
Middle 10,848 25,041 20%
Second lowest 10,908 25,040 20%
Lowest 11,403 25,047 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 10,030 25,045 20%
Second highest 10,530 25,042 20%
Middle 10,965 25,055 20%
Second lowest 11,298 25,038 20%
Lowest 11,329 25,037 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 10,465 24,404 100%
Sex
Female 4,820 10,977 45%
Male 5,645 13,427 55%
Country of birth
United States 5,403 12,744 52%
Other countries 5,062 11,660 48%
Age
31–39 3,776 7,665 31%
40–49 3,467 7,041 29%
50–59 2,087 6,126 25%
60–69 916 2,862 12%
70 or older 219 710 3%
Marital status
Married 6,221 14,906 61%
Divorced 1,077 2,694 11%
Widowed 226 642 3%
Never married 2,941 6,162 25%
Highest education level
Graduate 639 1,891 8%
Bachelor 658 1,976 8%
Associate 1,407 4,180 17%
High school 4,059 9,294 38%
Less than high school 3,702 7,062 29%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,141 2,864 12%
Second highest 1,657 3,960 16%
Middle 2,093 4,927 20%
Second lowest 2,588 6,087 25%
Lowest 2,986 6,567 27%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,044 2,579 11%
Second highest 1,604 3,868 16%
Middle 2,459 5,709 23%
Second lowest 2,733 6,159 25%
Lowest 2,625 6,089 25%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 33,707 76,595 100%
Sex
Female 15,961 35,783 47%
Male 17,746 40,812 53%
Country of birth
United States 30,902 71,078 93%
Other countries 2,805 5,518 7%
Age
31–39 7,771 18,740 24%
40–49 8,553 20,340 27%
50–59 7,528 17,009 22%
60–69 6,306 13,447 18%
70 or older 3,549 7,060 9%
Marital status
Married 21,366 48,506 63%
Divorced 5,639 12,512 16%
Widowed 1,390 2,808 4%
Never married 5,312 12,770 17%
Highest education level
Graduate 5,831 14,368 19%
Bachelor 7,753 18,307 24%
Associate 7,741 19,358 25%
High school 10,641 21,643 28%
Less than high school 1,741 2,918 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 7,424 17,352 23%
Second highest 7,294 16,941 22%
Middle 7,025 15,965 21%
Second lowest 6,301 14,031 18%
Lowest 5,663 12,306 16%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 7,052 17,236 23%
Second highest 7,359 17,167 22%
Middle 6,615 14,806 19%
Second lowest 6,273 13,577 18%
Lowest 6,408 13,809 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 5,749 14,202 100%
Sex
Female 3,099 7,276 51%
Male 2,650 6,926 49%
Country of birth
United States 4,895 12,224 86%
Other countries 854 1,978 14%
Age
31–39 1,769 4,025 28%
40–49 1,806 4,004 28%
50–59 1,139 3,423 24%
60–69 744 2,067 15%
70 or older 291 683 5%
Marital status
Married 2,063 5,201 37%
Divorced 979 2,438 17%
Widowed 171 411 3%
Never married 2,536 6,153 43%
Highest education level
Graduate 539 1,551 11%
Bachelor 828 2,467 17%
Associate 1,208 3,431 24%
High school 2,574 5,698 40%
Less than high school 600 1,055 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 636 1,814 13%
Second highest 904 2,360 17%
Middle 1,001 2,451 17%
Second lowest 1,351 3,374 24%
Lowest 1,857 4,203 30%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 720 2,113 15%
Second highest 931 2,413 17%
Middle 1,201 2,967 21%
Second lowest 1,474 3,482 25%
Lowest 1,423 3,227 23%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 4,231 10,015 100%
Sex
Female 2,129 4,973 50%
Male 2,102 5,042 50%
Country of birth
United States 1,460 3,543 35%
Other countries 2,771 6,472 65%
Age
31–39 1,115 2,859 29%
40–49 1,022 2,452 24%
50–59 1,109 2,523 25%
60–69 728 1,673 17%
70 or older 257 509 5%
Marital status
Married 2,469 5,767 58%
Divorced 441 984 10%
Widowed 163 354 4%
Never married 1,158 2,910 29%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,143 2,936 29%
Bachelor 1,191 2,959 30%
Associate 793 2,000 20%
High school 891 1,762 18%
Less than high school 213 358 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,192 3,013 30%
Second highest 745 1,786 18%
Middle 729 1,698 17%
Second lowest 668 1,548 15%
Lowest 897 1,971 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,214 3,117 31%
Second highest 636 1,594 16%
Middle 690 1,573 16%
Second lowest 818 1,819 18%
Lowest 873 1,913 19%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2050
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 59,330 136,802 100%
Sex
Female 27,855 64,754 47%
Male 31,475 72,048 53%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 16,414 34,410 25%
White, non-Hispanic 30,868 73,904 54%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 6,315 14,534 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 5,733 13,955 10%
Country of birth
United States 45,109 107,272 78%
Other countries 14,221 29,530 22%
Age
31–39 14,689 33,753 25%
40–49 16,353 37,343 27%
50–59 14,641 33,491 24%
60–69 8,974 20,908 15%
70 or older 4,673 11,307 8%
Marital status
Married 32,284 74,806 55%
Divorced 9,649 22,360 16%
Widowed 1,691 3,735 3%
Never married 15,706 35,901 26%
Highest education level
Graduate 10,085 27,393 20%
Bachelor 9,742 25,856 19%
Associate 10,788 29,782 22%
High school 20,197 40,201 29%
Less than high school 8,518 13,570 10%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 10,836 27,362 20%
Second highest 11,345 27,356 20%
Middle 11,771 27,362 20%
Second lowest 12,307 27,361 20%
Lowest 13,071 27,360 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 10,521 27,362 20%
Second highest 11,227 27,355 20%
Middle 12,088 27,363 20%
Second lowest 12,669 27,369 20%
Lowest 12,825 27,353 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 16,414 34,410 100%
Sex
Female 7,247 15,463 45%
Male 9,167 18,946 55%
Country of birth
United States 10,150 21,895 64%
Other countries 6,264 12,514 36%
Age
31–39 4,900 10,099 29%
40–49 5,203 10,725 31%
50–59 3,953 8,124 24%
60–69 1,833 3,846 11%
70 or older 525 1,615 5%
Marital status
Married 9,016 19,021 55%
Divorced 2,078 4,589 13%
Widowed 372 825 2%
Never married 4,948 9,975 29%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,266 3,613 10%
Bachelor 931 2,638 8%
Associate 2,060 5,869 17%
High school 6,512 13,112 38%
Less than high school 5,645 9,177 27%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,907 4,304 13%
Second highest 2,662 5,768 17%
Middle 3,403 7,216 21%
Second lowest 3,992 8,243 24%
Lowest 4,450 8,878 26%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,628 3,759 11%
Second highest 2,580 5,711 17%
Middle 3,914 8,172 24%
Second lowest 4,237 8,459 25%
Lowest 4,055 8,309 24%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 30,868 73,904 100%
Sex
Female 14,476 34,862 47%
Male 16,392 39,042 53%
Country of birth
United States 27,708 67,777 92%
Other countries 3,160 6,127 8%
Age
31–39 6,651 16,120 22%
40–49 7,781 18,698 25%
50–59 7,711 18,498 25%
60–69 5,366 12,987 18%
70 or older 3,359 7,602 10%
Marital status
Married 18,368 44,185 60%
Divorced 5,880 13,882 19%
Widowed 1,049 2,325 3%
Never married 5,571 13,512 18%
Highest education level
Graduate 6,328 17,051 23%
Bachelor 6,302 16,586 22%
Associate 6,528 17,957 24%
High school 9,863 19,489 26%
Less than high school 1,847 2,821 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 6,461 16,653 23%
Second highest 6,624 16,483 22%
Middle 6,358 15,322 21%
Second lowest 5,972 13,708 19%
Lowest 5,453 11,739 16%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 6,283 16,670 23%
Second highest 6,687 16,665 23%
Middle 6,032 14,105 19%
Second lowest 5,813 13,184 18%
Lowest 6,053 13,280 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 6,315 14,534 100%
Sex
Female 3,301 7,631 53%
Male 3,014 6,903 47%
Country of birth
United States 5,302 12,475 86%
Other countries 1,013 2,059 14%
Age
31–39 1,740 3,935 27%
40–49 1,795 4,059 28%
50–59 1,568 3,546 24%
60–69 893 2,031 14%
70 or older 319 963 7%
Marital status
Married 1,898 4,400 30%
Divorced 1,186 2,725 19%
Widowed 116 275 2%
Never married 3,115 7,134 49%
Highest education level
Graduate 683 1,920 13%
Bachelor 895 2,474 17%
Associate 1,218 3,380 23%
High school 2,806 5,661 39%
Less than high school 713 1,099 8%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 701 1,794 12%
Second highest 966 2,335 16%
Middle 1,159 2,733 19%
Second lowest 1,447 3,352 23%
Lowest 2,042 4,320 30%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 769 2,022 14%
Second highest 1,045 2,622 18%
Middle 1,291 3,016 21%
Second lowest 1,591 3,470 24%
Lowest 1,619 3,403 23%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 5,733 13,955 100%
Sex
Female 2,831 6,798 49%
Male 2,902 7,156 51%
Country of birth
United States 1,949 5,125 37%
Other countries 3,784 8,829 63%
Age
31–39 1,398 3,599 26%
40–49 1,574 3,861 28%
50–59 1,409 3,324 24%
60–69 882 2,044 15%
70 or older 470 1,127 8%
Marital status
Married 3,002 7,200 52%
Divorced 505 1,165 8%
Widowed 154 310 2%
Never married 2,072 5,280 38%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,808 4,810 34%
Bachelor 1,614 4,157 30%
Associate 982 2,576 18%
High school 1,016 1,939 14%
Less than high school 313 473 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 1,767 4,612 33%
Second highest 1,093 2,770 20%
Middle 851 2,092 15%
Second lowest 896 2,058 15%
Lowest 1,126 2,423 17%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 1,841 4,911 35%
Second highest 915 2,357 17%
Middle 851 2,070 15%
Second lowest 1,028 2,256 16%
Lowest 1,098 2,360 17%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Payroll Taxpayers Aged 31 or Older: Population Characteristics in 2050
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
  All taxpayers
Total 64,811 149,568 100%
Sex
Female 30,319 71,157 48%
Male 34,492 78,411 52%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 21,923 45,871 31%
White, non-Hispanic 29,160 70,837 47%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 6,406 14,635 10%
All other races, non-Hispanic 7,322 18,225 12%
Country of birth
United States 49,428 117,596 79%
Other countries 15,383 31,972 21%
Age
31–39 17,023 39,075 26%
40–49 17,552 39,819 27%
50–59 14,840 33,884 23%
60–69 9,930 23,269 16%
70 or older 5,466 13,521 9%
Marital status
Married 33,014 76,510 51%
Divorced 11,080 25,861 17%
Widowed 1,514 3,458 2%
Never married 19,203 43,739 29%
Highest education level
Graduate 11,473 31,653 21%
Bachelor 10,008 27,048 18%
Associate 11,369 31,601 21%
High school 22,129 43,816 29%
Less than high school 9,832 15,450 10%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 11,776 29,914 20%
Second highest 12,403 29,913 20%
Middle 12,961 29,915 20%
Second lowest 13,432 29,912 20%
Lowest 14,239 29,913 20%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 11,485 29,914 20%
Second highest 12,281 29,917 20%
Middle 13,195 29,912 20%
Second lowest 13,840 29,919 20%
Lowest 14,010 29,907 20%
  Hispanic or Latino, any race
Subtotal 21,923 45,871 100%
Sex
Female 9,727 20,967 46%
Male 12,196 24,904 54%
Country of birth
United States 15,323 32,877 72%
Other countries 6,600 12,994 28%
Age
31–39 6,713 13,976 30%
40–49 6,425 13,286 29%
50–59 4,942 10,307 22%
60–69 2,828 6,055 13%
70 or older 1,015 2,247 5%
Marital status
Married 11,223 23,654 52%
Divorced 3,171 6,904 15%
Widowed 425 888 2%
Never married 7,104 14,425 31%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,886 5,324 12%
Bachelor 1,260 3,513 8%
Associate 2,881 8,134 18%
High school 8,920 17,759 39%
Less than high school 6,976 11,140 24%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 2,657 5,984 13%
Second highest 3,724 8,036 18%
Middle 4,584 9,603 21%
Second lowest 5,229 10,834 24%
Lowest 5,729 11,413 25%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 2,262 5,271 11%
Second highest 3,608 7,921 17%
Middle 5,087 10,627 23%
Second lowest 5,609 11,204 24%
Lowest 5,357 10,849 24%
  White, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 29,160 70,837 100%
Sex
Female 13,624 33,500 47%
Male 15,536 37,337 53%
Country of birth
United States 25,837 64,353 91%
Other countries 3,323 6,484 9%
Age
31–39 6,848 16,644 23%
40–49 7,397 17,734 25%
50–59 6,663 15,980 23%
60–69 4,910 12,005 17%
70 or older 3,342 8,475 12%
Marital status
Married 16,628 40,585 57%
Divorced 5,944 14,378 20%
Widowed 815 1,944 3%
Never married 5,773 13,929 20%
Highest education level
Graduate 6,487 17,857 25%
Bachelor 5,744 15,542 22%
Associate 6,032 16,808 24%
High school 9,137 17,969 25%
Less than high school 1,760 2,661 4%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 6,133 16,216 23%
Second highest 6,252 15,877 22%
Middle 6,019 14,599 21%
Second lowest 5,687 13,192 19%
Lowest 5,069 10,953 15%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 6,038 16,217 23%
Second highest 6,384 16,166 23%
Middle 5,675 13,512 19%
Second lowest 5,434 12,439 18%
Lowest 5,629 12,503 18%
  Black or African American, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 6,406 14,635 100%
Sex
Female 3,380 7,845 54%
Male 3,026 6,790 46%
Country of birth
United States 5,243 12,318 84%
Other countries 1,163 2,317 16%
Age
31–39 1,734 3,963 27%
40–49 1,809 4,067 28%
50–59 1,485 3,365 23%
60–69 948 2,181 15%
70 or older 430 1,061 7%
Marital status
Married 1,741 3,944 27%
Divorced 1,311 3,024 21%
Widowed 102 243 2%
Never married 3,252 7,424 51%
Highest education level
Graduate 758 2,087 14%
Bachelor 928 2,545 17%
Associate 1,203 3,318 23%
High school 2,814 5,625 38%
Less than high school 703 1,060 7%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 684 1,684 12%
Second highest 1,018 2,390 16%
Middle 1,222 2,893 20%
Second lowest 1,458 3,323 23%
Lowest 2,024 4,346 30%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 749 1,919 13%
Second highest 1,083 2,663 18%
Middle 1,369 3,152 22%
Second lowest 1,594 3,467 24%
Lowest 1,611 3,434 23%
  All other races, non-Hispanic
Subtotal 7,322 18,225 100%
Sex
Female 3,588 8,844 49%
Male 3,734 9,380 51%
Country of birth
United States 3,025 8,047 44%
Other countries 4,297 10,177 56%
Age
31–39 1,728 4,492 25%
40–49 1,921 4,732 26%
50–59 1,750 4,234 23%
60–69 1,244 3,028 17%
70 or older 679 1,739 10%
Marital status
Married 3,422 8,328 46%
Divorced 654 1,555 9%
Widowed 172 382 2%
Never married 3,074 7,961 44%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,342 6,384 35%
Bachelor 2,076 5,447 30%
Associate 1,253 3,341 18%
High school 1,258 2,464 14%
Less than high school 393 588 3%
Current-law household income quintile
Highest 2,302 6,031 33%
Second highest 1,409 3,609 20%
Middle 1,136 2,821 15%
Second lowest 1,058 2,564 14%
Lowest 1,417 3,201 18%
Current-law payroll taxes quintile
Highest 2,436 6,506 36%
Second highest 1,206 3,167 17%
Middle 1,064 2,622 14%
Second lowest 1,203 2,809 15%
Lowest 1,413 3,121 17%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19 Run ID: SB 03/16/2022
NOTES: Start date = 2022.
Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Workers Born 1960–1969 with a Benefit/Tax Ratio: Population Characteristics (for Benefit/Tax Ratios projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 20,266 45,786 100%
Sex
Female 10,544 22,667 50%
Male 9,722 23,119 50%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 2,379 7,040 15%
White, non-Hispanic 14,009 29,584 65%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,174 5,700 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,704 3,461 8%
Country of birth
United States 15,908 35,677 78%
Other countries 4,358 10,108 22%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,154 4,730 10%
Bachelor 4,049 8,871 19%
Associate 4,416 10,291 22%
High school 7,537 17,114 37%
Less than high school 2,110 4,780 10%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 4,035 9,161 20%
Second highest 3,965 9,157 20%
Middle 3,934 9,154 20%
Second lowest 3,963 9,158 20%
Lowest 4,369 9,155 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 4,020 9,161 20%
Second highest 4,008 9,157 20%
Middle 3,941 9,157 20%
Second lowest 3,937 9,156 20%
Lowest 4,360 9,156 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 4,054 9,158 20%
Second highest 4,044 9,160 20%
Middle 4,005 9,157 20%
Second lowest 3,911 9,156 20%
Lowest 4,252 9,156 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Workers Born 1980–1989 with a Benefit/Tax Ratio: Population Characteristics (for Benefit/Tax Ratios projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 22,488 48,738 100%
Sex
Female 11,076 23,921 49%
Male 11,412 24,817 51%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 5,398 11,088 23%
White, non-Hispanic 12,197 27,429 56%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,845 5,979 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,048 4,243 9%
Country of birth
United States 15,797 36,415 75%
Other countries 6,691 12,324 25%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,067 8,017 16%
Bachelor 3,210 8,076 17%
Associate 3,857 10,330 21%
High school 8,280 15,763 32%
Less than high school 4,074 6,553 13%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 3,755 9,753 20%
Second highest 4,160 9,744 20%
Middle 4,429 9,747 20%
Second lowest 4,699 9,749 20%
Lowest 5,445 9,745 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 3,748 9,750 20%
Second highest 4,144 9,746 20%
Middle 4,412 9,747 20%
Second lowest 4,707 9,749 20%
Lowest 5,477 9,746 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,727 9,749 20%
Second highest 4,107 9,748 20%
Middle 4,463 9,749 20%
Second lowest 4,791 9,746 20%
Lowest 5,400 9,747 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Workers Born 2000–2009 with a Benefit/Tax Ratio: Population Characteristics (for Benefit/Tax Ratios projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 24,616 53,641 100%
Sex
Female 12,049 26,207 49%
Male 12,567 27,435 51%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 7,724 15,960 30%
White, non-Hispanic 11,312 25,596 48%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,873 6,115 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 2,707 5,970 11%
Country of birth
United States 17,240 39,650 74%
Other countries 7,376 13,992 26%
Highest education level
Graduate 3,497 9,239 17%
Bachelor 3,302 8,372 16%
Associate 4,182 11,266 21%
High school 9,035 17,401 32%
Less than high school 4,600 7,363 14%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 4,144 10,732 20%
Second highest 4,546 10,727 20%
Middle 4,871 10,729 20%
Second lowest 5,117 10,728 20%
Lowest 5,938 10,725 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 4,125 10,729 20%
Second highest 4,548 10,728 20%
Middle 4,834 10,730 20%
Second lowest 5,100 10,727 20%
Lowest 6,009 10,727 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 4,096 10,731 20%
Second highest 4,515 10,728 20%
Middle 4,906 10,727 20%
Second lowest 5,189 10,728 20%
Lowest 5,910 10,728 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Born 1960–1969 with a Replacement Rate: Population Characteristics (for Initial Replacement Rate projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 16,178 36,996 100%
Sex
Female 8,227 17,937 48%
Male 7,951 19,059 52%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 1,697 5,147 14%
White, non-Hispanic 11,635 24,847 67%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 1,704 4,521 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,142 2,482 7%
Country of birth
United States 13,394 29,889 81%
Other countries 2,784 7,108 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 1,800 4,056 11%
Bachelor 3,370 7,496 20%
Associate 3,704 8,684 23%
High school 5,955 13,647 37%
Less than high school 1,349 3,114 8%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 3,269 7,403 20%
Second highest 3,221 7,397 20%
Middle 3,198 7,401 20%
Second lowest 3,189 7,398 20%
Lowest 3,301 7,398 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 3,257 7,400 20%
Second highest 3,256 7,401 20%
Middle 3,193 7,399 20%
Second lowest 3,210 7,399 20%
Lowest 3,262 7,398 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,275 7,402 20%
Second highest 3,266 7,398 20%
Middle 3,241 7,399 20%
Second lowest 3,232 7,400 20%
Lowest 3,164 7,398 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Born 1980–1989 with a Replacement Rate: Population Characteristics (for Initial Replacement Rate projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 16,684 37,749 100%
Sex
Female 8,013 18,371 49%
Male 8,671 19,378 51%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 3,843 7,710 20%
White, non-Hispanic 9,720 22,930 61%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,000 4,422 12%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,121 2,688 7%
Country of birth
United States 12,995 30,435 81%
Other countries 3,689 7,315 19%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,449 6,711 18%
Bachelor 2,428 6,537 17%
Associate 3,086 8,534 23%
High school 6,125 11,925 32%
Less than high school 2,596 4,042 11%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 2,883 7,553 20%
Second highest 3,140 7,552 20%
Middle 3,357 7,547 20%
Second lowest 3,542 7,552 20%
Lowest 3,762 7,546 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 2,879 7,553 20%
Second highest 3,128 7,549 20%
Middle 3,366 7,549 20%
Second lowest 3,519 7,549 20%
Lowest 3,792 7,549 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 2,865 7,552 20%
Second highest 3,091 7,548 20%
Middle 3,346 7,550 20%
Second lowest 3,564 7,550 20%
Lowest 3,818 7,549 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.
Current-Law Beneficiaries Born 2000–2009 with a Replacement Rate: Population Characteristics (for Initial Replacement Rate projections)
Characteristic Unweighted sample Population
(in thousands)
Share of population
Total 18,514 42,059 100%
Sex
Female 8,838 20,384 48%
Male 9,676 21,675 52%
Race/ethnicity
Hispanic or Latino, any race 5,676 11,654 28%
White, non-Hispanic 9,007 21,474 51%
Black or African American, non-Hispanic 2,128 4,766 11%
All other races, non-Hispanic 1,703 4,166 10%
Country of birth
United States 14,284 33,321 79%
Other countries 4,230 8,738 21%
Highest education level
Graduate 2,846 7,830 19%
Bachelor 2,503 6,823 16%
Associate 3,365 9,354 22%
High school 6,776 13,323 32%
Less than high school 3,024 4,728 11%
Current-law initial AIME quintile
Highest 3,221 8,414 20%
Second highest 3,492 8,411 20%
Middle 3,735 8,411 20%
Second lowest 3,898 8,413 20%
Lowest 4,168 8,410 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile
Highest 3,213 8,412 20%
Second highest 3,492 8,412 20%
Middle 3,703 8,412 20%
Second lowest 3,906 8,411 20%
Lowest 4,200 8,412 20%
Lifetime payroll tax quintile (shared)
Highest 3,191 8,414 20%
Second highest 3,460 8,412 20%
Middle 3,706 8,411 20%
Second lowest 3,954 8,411 20%
Lowest 4,203 8,411 20%
SOURCE: SSA Office of Research, Evaluation, and Statistics, MINT 8.19, Analysis 2.0. Run: 06/30/2021. Ref #: OACT0615v1
NOTE: Providing these estimates does not imply SSA support for the proposal, nor is SSA responsible for any interpretations of these estimates.